Gameweek 13 comes after a long two week break for FPL managers. Injuries are plentiful and the busy festive period approaches, giving us a chance to review the previous TWIST and plan the next one.
What is FPL TWIST? For more information take a look here
So how did we do last time out?
A reminder of the GW10 TWIST squad and how they performed over the last three gameweeks:
GW10: Ryan – 10, Mendy – 6, Laporte – 6, Duffy – 6, Robertson – 0, Salah © – 30, Hazard – 0, Maddison – 2, Murphy – 2, Aguero – 2, Ings – 2
Bench: Arnautovic – 0, Bennett – 0, Hojbjerg – 0, Button – 0
Total = 66. Overall average = 58.
GW11: Ryan – 1, Mendy – 2, Robertson – 2, Laporte – 2, Duffy – 1, Salah – 2, Hazard – 4, Maddison – 3, Aguero © – 26, Arnautovic – 12, Ings – 6
Bench: Bench: Bennett – 2, Hojbjerg – 2, Murphy – 2, Button – 0
Total = 61. Overall average = 52
GW12: Ryan – 2, Mendy – 2, Laporte – 2, Robertson – 12, Duffy – 1, Salah © – 16, Hazard – 3, Murphy – 2, Aguero – 7, Arnautovic – 2, Ings – 6
Bench: Maddison – 0, Bennett – 0, Hojbjerg – 1, Button – 0
Total = 55. Overall average = 48
Overall the team scored consistently if not spectacularly. An average score of 61 across the three gameweeks meant that we outperformed the overall average by 24 points across the period. The injury plagued GW10 meant that we only fielded 9 players, and Maddison’s injury ahead of GW12 was a blow.
Two transfers could certainly have improved our score. Double Brighton defence started well but disappointed against Cardiff, whilst double Man City defence were just two Ederson errors away from bringing in six clean sheets over the three gameweeks. Our differential, Murphy, failed to deliver.
TWIST – GW13
Onto the next TWIST! Following feedback, the budget has been increased to 101m – we will provide possible upgrades and downgrades for those with more or less to spend.
|GK||Fabianski||WHU||£4.50||MCI (H)||NEW (A)||CAR (H)||CRY (H)||FUL (A)||WAT (H)|
|GK||Button||BHA||£4.00||LEI (H)||HUD (A)||CRY (H)||BUR (A)||CHE (H)||BOU (A)|
|DEF||Alonso||CHE||£7.00||TOT (A)||FUL (H)||WOL (A)||MCI (H)||BHA (A)||LEI (H)|
|DEF||Laporte||MCI||£5.90||WHU (A)||BOU (H)||WAT (A)||CHE (A)||EVE (H)||CRY (H)|
|DEF||Dunk||BHA||£4.40||LEI (H)||HUD (A)||CRY (H)||BUR (A)||CHE (H)||BOU (A)|
|DEF||TAA||LIV||£5.00||WAT (A)||EVE (H)||BUR (A)||BOU (A)||MUN (H)||WOL (A)|
|DEF||Vinagre||WOL||£4.30||HUD (H)||CAR (A)||CHE (H)||NEW (A)||BOU (H)||LIV (H)|
|MID||Salah||LIV||£13.00||WAT (A)||EVE (H)||BUR (A)||BOU (A)||MUN (H)||WOL (A)|
|MID||Hazard||CHE||£11.30||TOT (A)||FUL (H)||WOL (A)||MCI (H)||BHA (A)||LEI (H)|
|MID||Silva||MCI||£8.50||WHU (A)||BOU (H)||WAT (A)||CHE (A)||EVE (H)||CRY (H)|
|MID||Brooks||BOU||£5.10||ARS (H)||MCI (A)||HUD (H)||LIV (H)||WOL (A)||BHA (H)|
|MID||Kenedy||NEW||£4.90||BUR (A)||WHU (H)||EVE (A)||WOL (H)||HUD (A)||FUL (H)|
|FWD||Agüero||MCI||£11.40||WHU (A)||BOU (H)||WAT (A)||CHE (A)||EVE (H)||CRY (H)|
|FWD||Arnautovic||WHU||£7.10||MCI (H)||NEW (A)||CAR (H)||CRY (H)||FUL (A)||WAT (H)|
|FWD||Success||WAT||£4.60||LIV (H)||LEI (A)||MCI (H)||EVE (A)||CAR (H)||WHU (A)|
Fab just edges out Ryan this time around. GW12 aside, his fixtures look great and even when West Ham concede he’s proven to be more than capable of returning save points. Second only to Hart for saves and joint top for bonus points with 7. Only kept 1 clean sheet so far but extremely unlucky to concede late against Leicester and their underlying stats have been much better in recent weeks.
The top points scorer in the game as it stands and the second most selected overall, the flying fullback has 8 attacking returns so far this season and could have added to that tally against Everton. Went through a 5 gameweek “drought” earlier in the season where it looked like he might have been curtailing his attacking intent, but 3 shots including one off the woodwork in GW12 hints that he might add to his single goal before too long.
Largely ignored at the start the season, the uncapped Frenchman has now played 90 minutes in every Premier League match for City. I believe that, aside from his clear ability, the fact he is left footed gives him the edge over Stones, Kompany and Otamendi who have all been rotated at various points. The busy Xmas period will be a test of that logic, but with only 1 top 6 opponent in the next 6 I wouldn’t be surprised to see 4 or 5 clean sheets.
Selecting this young fullback does come with a caveat: you’re going to need a strong bench. One of him, Gomez and Lovren will be missing each week but TAA gets the nod from me. It looks like in the matches against tougher opposition Gomez and Lovren are the preferred pair, meaning that when TAA does play he’s got a better chance of a clean sheet and the possibility of an attacking return.
Lovren’s minutes over the international break, the partnership of VVD and Gomez and a questionable injury record make him a higher risk in my opinion. Gomez has the advantage of playing 2 positions making it a very close call between the England duo. With Klopp showing he’s happy to play Moreno when needed, Robertson becomes slightly less appealing at his higher price.
I’ve opted against another premium asset in favour of the much cheaper Brighton man. Great fixtures with only 1 top 6 team in the next 6 games, the England international also has a couple of goals in his last 2 matches. A guarantee of starts over Xmas period and a bargain price tag makes Dunk very appealing, allowing us to spend further up the pitch.
Vinagre – DIFFERENTIAL
I’m going to level with you, I know next to nothing about this guy other than the fact he’s the favourite to replace the injured Jonny for Wolves. A few Twitter highlights show an obviously talented young fullback and the way Wolves play could definitely lead to attacking returns for him.
Whilst it seems ridiculous to be disappointed in a player averaging over 8 points per game in his previous 4 fixtures, I think many expected more from Mo in GW12. At home to a Fulham side that looked like early contenders for whipping boy status, owners made do with just the 1 goal. Having said that, Mo still looks like the main man for a Liverpool side that only play United from the top 6 in the next 6 matches. It seems like the “Can Mane match Salah” debate might have been settled in favour of the Egyptian, for now.
Copy and paste from last week:
What more can you say that hasn’t been said already? He’s in the form of his life for club and country, he’s on penalties, he’s been told to defend less and stay higher up the pitch, finally playing under an attacking manager, no Champions League to worry about, and plays with strikers that are definitely better at providing him chances than scoring their own.
Few things bring me more joy than watching David Silva play at his best. Regardless of who you support, “the magician” has been a pleasure to watch this season. 6 attacking returns so far belies both his underlying statistics (xGA of 8.95) and what we’ve seen on the pitch.
Bernardo is an early doubt for the weekend after pulling out of international duty (although with Portgual already confirmed as group winners this is slightly suspect) and De Bruyne looks set to miss the next few gameweeks at least. In the 5 games where he’s started and City have scored 3+ goals, Silva has a minimum of 7 points. No longer plays for Spain.
Early contender for bargain of the season, at just 5.1m the Bournemouth boy has 3 goals in his last 6 and continued to impress for his international side on the weekend. Difficult fixtures coming up but I’d be happy to start him in 4 of the next 6 if needed.
Delivered a great assist for Rondon’s header in GW12, and with excellent fixtures until Boxing Day maybe the Brazilian will finally deliver on the promise he showed at the end of last season.
Not a lot needs to be said here. Despite the looming risk of rotation with Jesus, I still firmly believe Aguero is the first choice striker in a team that’s creating far more chances than anyone else this season. Always a captain candidate, looking sharper than ever and has overcome the slight injury that hampered his play time earlier in the season.
Arnie has been playing with some sort of bruised bone injury, but you wouldn’t know it from his performances – both for club and country. Will be disappointed not to get any returns against Huddersfield, but after West Ham has great fixtures all the way until GW25. Came on late against Northern Ireland which looks good for his owners. Even better that he set up the winner! Hopefully heals in time for the busy festive period.
I’m still not sold on the young Watford striker, but at 4.6 he represents the only striker with a chance of starting and scoring. Benchwarmer.
So, to conclude…
TAA to VVD, Silva to Sane, Success to Jimenez, Vinagre to Doherty
Laporte to Stones, Brooks to Camarasa/Murphy, Silva to Richarlison